Weeknotes #58: Generative AI, the seaside and a garden centre

The Turbine Theatre revives Closer To Heaven, while AI conference stresses adaptation urgency.

Week commencing Monday, 26 February 2024

Burger and chips: my garden centre Sunday lunch
Burger and chips: my garden centre Sunday lunch

Quantified Self

  • This week: Stand 5/7; Exercise 2/7 and Move 4/7. (52%, very poor). Morning walks: 0/4 (days in the office don’t count). Office days 1/5. Total steps: 48,560

Life

  • The Turbine Theatre announced a revival of the Pet Shop Boys musical Closer To Heaven. The theatre will be transformed into Vic’s Club for the show. I loved this musical when it played in 2001. It will be interesting to see what the theatre can do with it. Tickets are not cheap.
  • I went to a Generative AI conference organised by Google UK, which focused on the business aspects of AI. What made it enjoyable was the panel from companies actively using AI in their business, including a case study from formaula-e. The message across the day was consistent: the pace of change means you need to move fast to keep up.
  • Related: The food during the breaks was delicious.
  • Relatedly related: nice catch-up with my boss in the bar downstairs afterwards.
  • The summary of this post was generated by ChatGPT.
  • Thursday: I attended a collaborative workshop, and feedback on our v1 integration was positive in another meeting. It was nice to be in the room for both of those.
  • Saturday: A lovely brunch at a new (to us) café, a train down to Shanklin, and a lovely gin by the sea. Sunday: Lunch with PY’s Dad at a very posh garden centre.
  • Reading about The Isle of Wight Distillery’s plans to move into Ryde Arena on the same day they withdrew the application. It’s utterly ridiculous that such a site goes unused.

Media

  • Watched the last episode of the current season of Slow Horses. Disappointingly, I felt it rushed to a conclusion. There was jeopardy in the early part of the episode and a lot of shooting, of course, but it squeezed the ending into the last few minutes, and it would’ve been better – or at least more satisfying – to play it longer.
  • Went back to Ted Lasso. We’re way behind and only starting season 2. My favourite line: “Low Fat Custard that doesn’t make you sad” Ted Lasso, S2 E2.
  • Archive on 4: Motorway City is a fascinating history of urbanism. The current political climate means there are increasing protests from a large number of residents opposed to the pollution they are living with, and those who feel any changes to existing road systems are anti-motoring.

Welcome To Your Digital Ad Dashboard

Your ad server decides whether to serve an ad. Why then is a spreadsheet handling the prediction? Your ad server knows how many ads it has displayed. Why is that information being re-keyed into a billing system? These are blockers to efficiency and success. They are not insurmountable. The industry will move in that direction.

The technology behind managing online display advertisements can be incredibly complex. The business behind it, the technology, is even more difficult to comprehend. Then there’s the poor publisher behind who buys the ad-server technology to manage their own increasingly complex business. These are the people I work with day in, day out. Publishers are trying to get a grip on technology when, truthfully, they don’t care about technology. Generally, they care about delivering the advertising campaigns that somebody is paying them to deliver. The tech should do that. Seamlessly.

Sadly, much of the technology in this space is a black box. Few people in an organisation understand how it determines how/when/why ads appear. While it’s not ideal, I don’t consider it too surprising, given that the online display market is only a teenager and is still maturing. New approaches to selling online media result in new tech features, which in turn need to be understood and explained to the end business. Here, I am focusing on the publisher ad-serving business because the agency world presents different problems.

However, there is one part of the business that I think we’re missing in the advertising tech game for online content owners. We need to be the dashboard for a publisher or content owner’s advertising & marketing departments. And we’re not. We are one of many systems, from inventory prediction spreadsheets to unrelated billing.

Although we shouldn’t need to be every component of the system, we do need to unify the data. Your ad server decides whether to serve an ad. Why then is a spreadsheet handling the prediction? Your ad server knows how many ads it has displayed. Why is that information being re-keyed into a billing system? (OK, not everywhere, but in many places). These are blockers to efficiency and success. They are not insurmountable. The industry will move in that direction.

However, there’s one area where we have a disconnect. Advertising technology systems don’t tend to integrate well with those web analytics systems. This, to my mind, is the biggest disconnect we have in the industry.

I do know all the arguments that explain the disconnect; I’ve used them myself. The systems are trying to achieve different things, and the stats from the analytics systems provide lots of useful data beyond the kind of advertising data our industry needs. Designers, content producers, systems admins, and network people all need the data web analytics software delivers. Often, it’s great and detailed data.

But web analytics systems report the number of users on websites. In any business, these numbers are usually passed along to management and the board. They’re used on marketing materials to shout, “Hey, look how great we are. We have a big number here, and it’s getting bigger by the month. My graph groweth towards the sky”.

People love good numbers and a good story. So, the board in the company gets the marketing team to tell the good number story far and wide. And they really don’t have to go that far until they’re telling it to the ad salespeople. Who, in turn, pick up the phone and tell the news to their customers. And before you know it, everybody wants to buy ads against these lovely big numbers because they have these big numbers.

Unfortunately, the ad server disagrees with these big numbers. There are lots of reasons why. Some valid reasons for different data, some valid differences between counting approaches, some just tech differences. Occasionally, these differences can add up to a big number.

Some years ago, a major broadcaster had a site that generated big numbers. But their ad technology didn’t say the same number. Remember, people like big numbers. So the management didn’t like the smaller numbers from the ad server. Smaller numbers meant a smaller revenue. And yours truly was asked to look into it.

After being provided with two data sets, I started looking at them and, quite quickly, found a number of clear, obvious discrepancies. The nice analytics numbers counted all the pages, even the ones without ads (and there were a good number of them). The analytics numbers counted non-human traffic from search engine bots and other robots. You can’t serve ads to them. And if you do, people don’t like it.

I could go on, but this is already long enough.

Let me be clear. This is not a problem with the analytics industry or the ad technology business. Analytics companies could easily provide reports that match by filtering, in the same way ad servers do. That’s just a report to them. But the issue is with the end client. They don’t want to know the technicalities of the differences. And why should they? But equally, they should not be allowing sales and marketing folks to build and sell advertising models based on numbers they have no chance of delivering.

My appeal to the ad-server business is this. Develop an interface that marries analytics data with ad-serving data. For my purposes, let’s assume that’s easy. Create a single view of the data for the end business so they buy, sell and predict from the same numbers. Make sure predictions and post-delivery reports are based on the same data,

I think it’s the only way we can make the industry work without the distrust that happens when different systems purport to report on the same things but provide different reports.

And don’t get me started on differences between ad servers!

Yet Another Hierarchical Officious Oracle

I could have been rich if I’d been as smart as they were!

I wish I had a record of the early websites I used to visit. You know, one of those pages we had in 1995 that was a list of ‘recommended sites’. Of course, if I was David Filo or Jerry Yang I would have been out celebrating ten years of my list of favourite sites, or Yahoo as they know it. Yahoo was ten years old yesterday. Yahoo! has always been my favourite search engine, and with the advent of the new Yahoo! Firefox toolbar, I have a renewed interest in using the site. There’s a rather cool Netrospective (10 years, 100 moments of the Web), but it doesn’t bring my own site list back to life. And to think that I could have maintained that list and been very, very rich right now.

Happy Birthday, Yahoo – your childish years are behind you and your teenage years are ahead – that’s when things get difficult. You’ll get moody and spotty, and you won’t want anything to do with us oldies, but don’t forget you need us!!

There wasn’t too much spam ten years ago, although it was certainly around; it wasn’t something that Yahoo would have worried too much about. Two years ago, however, there was considerably more spam. What amuses me looking back at this post from this day 2003 is just how much spam has changed. I get a few emails about debt solutions now, but I do get a good few offering me all kinds of new drugs to cure all the ills I don’t have.

Ten years or two – the online world is moving on so quickly.

Eggs and Spam For Breakfast (No Eggs)

The first time I have ever received all spam and nothing else in my office in-box on a Monday morning.

I have spent a great deal of my working life involved in online advertising. I guess that online advertising includes the ability to mass-market by e-mail.

I have no problems with legitimate, professional marketing from reputable companies. For years, I’ve never objected to direct postal correspondence – to a certain extent, I don’t mind opening junk mail. Occasionally, very occasionally, it’s quite interesting (even if I am just trying to work out how the hell I got on the mailing list).

So, email direct marketing is OK. I don’t mind getting the odd circular or receiving mail from people I’ve encountered before in an online environment. I don’t mind those lists that I have signed up for. But, like many people, I abhor spam. I use MailWasher to delete spam before it reaches my inbox and have always felt this is the best way of dealing with it. I am careful which e-mail addresses get out and have a couple of e-mail aliases which are just used on mailing lists, etc., and therefore the spam does not collect in my most oft-used mailboxes.

Today, however, I noticed my work email address is suddenly getting clogged with spam. Now I rarely sign up for anything with work email addresses (and only for professional newsletters if I do). But I’ve only been using this e-mail address for a month and haven’t signed up for any lists yet. In fact, so few people know I am on this new e-mail address that I wouldn’t have thought it possible to be signed up to anything. Regardless, all the e-mails from this morning in my office e-mail account were spam. Everyone. This is the first time that has happened to me at work. What would it say about my life if I responded to this motley collection of marketing messages:

  • Do you have problems with your septic tank
  • GET OUT OF *-DEBT-* TODAY
  • Hundreds of Lenders… WILL COMPETE For Your Loan!
  • SIZE AND STAMINA DO MATTER
  • Reduce the amount of sleep you need
  • The Truth About Gold And Silver
  • F*r*ee s*e*x on the web
  • Helping You Get A MOrtgage Loan
  • If you’re interested in *eliminating* up to 100% of your unsecured credit card debt, read the rest
  • Do you want for a prosperous future, increased money earning power, and the respect of all?
  • If you want to see a SERIOUS Opportunity then you need to check this out

Honestly, it should be fascinating. It really should. And every single one appeared to be from a US-based company targeting US consumers. I really wanted to reply to the lot explaining how they were wasting their time, but you know what that will result in!